While the global population is aging at an unprecedented rate, some countries are witnessing an historically unprecedented demographic phenomenon: Simultaneous population aging and population decline. More than 20 countries are projected to experience population declines in the upcoming decades. Russia ‘s population, for example, is expected to shrink by 18 million between 2006 and 2030, a decrease of nearly 13 percent. Nine other countries are projected to experience a decline of at least 1 million people during the same period (Figure 7). Projected Population decline between 2006 and 2030, in millions,. While Japan ‘s total population is projected to decrease by 11 million, the population age 65 and over is projected to increase by 8 million between 2006 and 2030. The proportion of older people in Japan should therefore grow from 20 percent in 2006 to about 30 percent in 2030. Population declines in more developed countries are primarily the result of low fertility. Russia and Japan , for instance, have total fertility rates of 1.4 births per woman, significantly below the rate needed to replenish a population in the absence of migration. In contrast, less developed countries facing population declines are experiencing increased mortality largely due […]
Monday, March 26th, 2007
Population Decline and Aging
Author:
Source: theMatureMarket.com (France)
Publication Date: 26-Mar-07
Link: Population Decline and Aging
Source: theMatureMarket.com (France)
Publication Date: 26-Mar-07
Link: Population Decline and Aging
Stephan: Most American are programmed to be concerned about over-population, that being the principal mantra of futurists from the 60s to the 90s, when they were educated, and subjected to this consensus view. In fact, as long-time SR readers know the more powerful issue is underpopulation and aging in the developed world.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau International Data Base. Available at: http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/idbnew.html. Accessed January 8, 2007.
From Report: Why Population Aging Matters: A Global Perspective