Salvation Gets Cheap

Stephan:  Here is the truth no one wants to admit, because it threatens the entire carbon energy infrastructure and its profits: Making the conversion out of the carbon era will not be that costly, and will actually create millions of jobs, and generate new fortunes, just as the conversion from sail to steam, or horse and buggy to internal combustion. But, like the Wizard of Oz, the carbon interests fill the air with disinformation and nonsense to obfuscate this truth.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which pools the efforts of scientists around the globe, has begun releasing draft chapters from its latest assessment, and, for the most part, the reading is as grim as you might expect. We are still on the road to catastrophe without major policy changes.

But there is one piece of the assessment that is surprisingly, if conditionally, upbeat: Its take on the economics of mitigation. Even as the report calls for drastic action to limit emissions of greenhouse gases, it asserts that the economic impact of such drastic action would be surprisingly small. In fact, even under the most ambitious goals the assessment considers, the estimated reduction in economic growth would basically amount to a rounding error, around 0.06 percent per year.

What’s behind this economic optimism? To a large extent, it reflects a technological revolution many people don’t know about, the incredible recent decline in the cost of renewable energy, solar power in particular.

Before I get to that revolution, however, let’s talk for a minute about the overall relationship between economic growth and the environment.

Other things equal, more G.D.P. tends to mean more pollution. What transformed China into the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases? […]

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Oklahoma Students Know Less About Evolution After Biology I Than They Did Before Taking It

Stephan:  There were two stories about Oklahoma that reveal trends in that state. This one involves education, and is part of the Neo-medievalism Trend that is sweeping the Red states. They are actually deliberately educating their children to be more ignorant. This is also part of the Great Schism Trend that is breaking the country into two very different worlds. Click through and you can get the link to download the actual report discussed in this story.

A study published in the latest edition of Evolution: Education and Outreach demonstrated ‘the average student…completed the Biology I course with increased confidence in their biological evolution knowledge yet with a greater number of biological evolution misconceptions and, therefore, less competency in the subject.”

The study, conducted by Tony Yates and Edmund Marek, tested biology teachers and students in 32 Oklahoma public high schools via a survey the pair called ‘the Biological Evolution Literacy Survey.” The survey was administered to the teachers first, to get a benchmark of their grasp of evolutionary theory. The survey was then administered twice to the students – once before they took the required Biology I course, and once after they had completed it.

Yates and Marek found that prior to instruction, students possessed 4,812 misconceptions about evolutionary theory; after they completed the Biology I course, they possessed 5,072. Of the 475 students surveyed, only 216 decreased the number of misconceptions they believed, as opposed to 259 who had more of them when they finished the course than before they took it.

‘There is little doubt,” they argued, ‘that teachers may serve as sources of biological evolution-related misconceptions or, at the very least, propagators of existing misconceptions.”

Despite holding […]

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California to Utilities: Connect Battery-Solar Systems to the Grid

Stephan:  Here is one of the clearest examples I have seen recently of the difference between Red value states, the social outcomes their policies produce, and Blue value states and the consequences of their social policies. In contrast to Oklahoma, California is leading the way in the transition away from carbon energy.

California regulators have just issued a rebuke to utilities, and a thumbs-up to customers and companies that want to connect hundreds of now-stalled battery-backed solar PV projects across the state.

On Tuesday, the California Public Utilities Commission issued a proposed decision that would exempt most storage-solar projects from extra utility fees and interconnection studies (PDF). Instead, it would require utilities to treat them as regular old net-metered solar systems, as long as they meet certain requirements.

For the past twelve months or so, California’s big three investor-owned utilities — Southern California Edison, Pacific Gas & Electric and San Diego Gas & Electric — have been demanding these systems undergo extensive reviews that come with between $1,400 and $3,700 in extra fees. Utilities have said they need to do this for safety reasons, as well as to make sure that batteries don’t store grid power, then feed it back under the guise of green, net-metered power.

Solar and storage system installers say these unnecessary fees and studies have brought new battery-solar projects to a screeching halt, and slowed to a crawl grid interconnections for those that have been approved. SolarCity, for example, says that of the more than 500 customers that have signed up […]

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The Next America: Two Dramas in Slow Motion

Stephan:  Here you see the research data supporting the demographic transition trend SR has been describing for almost 20 years. This is what is driving the Tea Party, and why the Republican Party, as constituted, is ultimately doomed. Click through to see the very helpful animated graphic.

Demographic transformations are dramas in slow motion. America is in the midst of two right now. Our population is becoming majority non-white at the same time a record share is going gray. Each of these shifts would by itself be the defining demographic story of its era. The fact that both are unfolding simultaneously has generated big generation gaps that will put stress on our politics, families, pocketbooks, entitlement programs and social cohesion.

The Pew Research Center tracks these transformations with public opinion surveys and demographic and economic analyses. Our new book, The Next America, draws on this research to paint a data-rich portrait of the many ways our nation is changing and the challenges we face in the decades ahead.

Let’s start with what demographers call an ‘age pyramid.” Each bar represents a five year age cohort; with those ages 0-4 on the bottom and those ages 85 and older on the top. In every society since the start of history, whenever you broke down any population this way, you’d always get a pyramid.

But from 1960 to 2060, our pyramid will turn into a rectangle. We’ll have almost as many Americans over age 85 as under age 5. This is the […]

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Industry Expert Says “StopRush” Movement Has Destroyed Limbaugh’s Business For Good

Stephan:  Here is some good news illustrating how citizen action can bring about change.

Speaking yesterday on the Ed Schultz radio show, industry insider Holland Cooke credited a persistent online activist movement with completely destroying right wing talk show host Rush Limbaugh’s business model by using the very free speech that El Rushbo claims gives him carte blanche to do what he does.

With the latest round of ratings just emerging, Cooke revealed that, in the largest markets, Limbaugh’s stations are in terrible shape:

In fact, in New York–where Limbaugh moved to Clear Channel’s WOR a few months back–there are four stations ahead of Limbaugh’s that aren’t even English language stations. He is also being beaten by a classical music station.

Cooke pins the blame for talk radio’s struggles squarely on Limbaugh’s shoulders and points to the right wing talk show host’s 2012 attack on Sandra Fluke as the “shot heard round the world.” Here are some excerpts from his comments:

The conversation really picked up on February 29, 2012, Leap Year Day which was Day 1 of this three-day Rush Limbaugh/Sandra Fluke faux pas. And, if we were studying the history of talk radio, you stick a pin in the timeline there because at that moment, a very well organized […]

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