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Sunday, March 20th, 2016

Non-partisan analyst flips 10 House races to favoring Democrats

Author:     Scott Wong
Source:     The Hill
Publication Date:     March 18, 2016, 01:17 pm
 Link: Non-partisan analyst flips 10 House races to favoring Democrats
Stephan:   For the first time the professional political class are beginning to think the unthinkable -- despite grotesque gerrymandering and voter suppression the Republicans might lose control of the House. Here is the story. This would be a huge deal, and if the Senate flipped as well, and a Democrat won the Presidency, for the first time in eight years the U.S. might actually have a functioning government.
U.S. House of Representative with all members present. Credit: www.ibtimes.co.uk

U.S. House of Representative with all members present.
Credit: www.ibtimes.co.uk

House Democrats received a bit of good news on Friday: The nonpartisan Cook Political Report changed the ratings of 10 House races in Democrats’ favor.

And given the unpredictable nature of this cycle, the elections and campaigns newsletter said it could not be certain Republicans will hold the House in November.

“So many assumptions have been wrong this cycle that it’s difficult to be definitive about another: that the House majority won’t be in play in 2016,” wrote longtime Cook political analyst David Wasserman.

While a Donald Trump or Ted Cruz nomination “wouldn’t guarantee a down-ballot disaster,” Wasserman wrote, it would make congressional races much more difficult to predict, especially if Trump becomes the GOP standard bearer.

Here are the 10 Cook ratings changes that favored Democrats:

  • Freshman David Young (R-Iowa) moves from Lean R to Toss Up.

  • Freshman Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) moves from […]

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