Donald Trump is rising because the US middle class has crashed

Stephan:  This is a really good economic assessment of what has created the Trump phenomenon. It doesn't deal with the racism, or the fundamentalism, or the guns but I think if gets the economic profile just right. This report also gets the rising Authoritarianism Trend, which is going to be amped up in Europe as a result of the migrations and now the Brussels massacre, and anti-Muslim feeling translates into Rightist politics.  As I have said before the assimilation of minorities is going to be one of the meta-trends of the 21st century.  In the U.S. I think this will principally take the form of the transition to majority-minority, which we will reach in 2043, and no racial group will constitute 50%. Dealing with becoming majority-minority is serving the same function of creating Theocratic Rightism. Actual immigration I think will be less of an issue for several reasons. At the current rates more Mexicans are leaving the U.S. than coming in. The legalization of marijuana is seriously degrading the Mexican cartels and altering the underground economy. And we are going down while others are coming up, and we are increasingly dangerous. As a country the U.S. has come to a cross-roads. What happens in November will change the course of our world. And it is all going to get down to how many people vote.
Welcome to the future. Credit: AP/Andrew Harnik

Welcome to the future.
Credit: AP/Andrew Harnik

There’s no secret behind America’s groundswell of support for Donald Trump, the political outsider whose bid for the Republican presidential nomination threatens rip the party of Lincoln asunder. Trump supporters—who pushed him to victory in key Republican nominating contests in Mississippi and Michigan on Tuesday—are disproportionately older whites without college diplomas.

Today, these folks are usually referred to as “working-class.” But at the heart of Trump’s appeal is the uncomfortable fact that they used to be something else. These people used to be America’s middle class.

Last year, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis published an interesting bit of research. The paper showed that “middle class” living standards have declined much more drastically than other metrics—such as median household income—would suggest.
Analysts at the bank took survey data and sorted respondents by demographic criteria such as race, age, and education […]

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Packing Heat While Praying in the South

Stephan:  This is how crazy it has gotten about guns in some states. You can guess which. Did you say Mississippi? Why Yes. Just imagine the questions you will get the next time you are traveling out of the country.  Do normal people in the U.S. carry guns into their church services? Why yes, in some congregations in large conservative churches it might rise to a hundred or more men and women who are armed. What could possibly go wrong.

gun and bibleGod’s houses in Mississippi are under siege.

At least that’s the bill of goods some state lawmakers are selling with the Church Protection Act—a preemptive Dirty Harry-meets-Samson line in the sand granting worshippers a chance to pack heat while channeling the Holy Ghost.

“Worse actually comes to worse and in a religious service people have a right to defend themselves,” Larry Dean, pastor of the Bridgetown Baptist Church in Nesbit, Mississippi told The Daily Beast. “Some people that are part of terrorist organizations or not have taken advantage of the fact that people in churches are unarmed.”

Pastor Larry W. Dean.
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Pastor Larry W. Dean.

The 65-year-old preacher suggests that churches, with their large head count and sacred grounds, make both him and his faithful vulnerable.

“The reality is that we’re a soft target,” he said. “Anyone can carry a weapon at any time and do whatever evil they […]

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The number of Americans who have basic healthy habits is shockingly low

Stephan:  We are not a healthy society; as I travel I see more and more grossly overweight people. As this report says, "Only about 38 percent of Americans surveyed had a healthy diet, just 10 percent had a normal body fat level, and fewer than half (47 percent) were sufficiently active."

woman on scaleThere are really only a few basic habits we know should help keep people healthy: eating well, exercising, avoiding smoking, and keeping body fat in check.

Turns out a shockingly tiny number — just 2.7 percent — of Americans actually manage all four habits, according to a new study published in Mayo Clinic Proceedings.

The research, led by Paul Loprinzi of the University of Mississippi, used data about the lifestyles of nearly 5,000 US adults from the 2003 to 2006 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. (That’s the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s biggest national health survey.)

The researchers zeroed in on information about exercise (whether people got 150 minutes of moderate to vigorous physical activity weekly based on accelerometer data) and smoking status (measured by blood levels of cotinine, a biomarker for tobacco exposure). As for eating habits, the researchers looked at self-reported 24-hour recall data about diet and used the Healthy Eating Index score (an indicator of diet quality that takes into account how many fruits and vegetables people eat, as well as […]

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Portland To Sue Monsanto For Contaminating Waterway With PCBs

Stephan:  Here is some more good news about Monsanto, a company that in my view should be bankrupted by citizen action.  It's not complicated: Don't buy anything Monsanto makes.
The March Against Monsanto in Denver, CO.  Credit: MAM

The March Against Monsanto in Denver, CO.
Credit: MAM

The city council in Portland, Oregon has unanimously voted to authorize a lawsuit against Monsanto for contaminating its waterways with cancer-causing chemicals. Six other West Coast cities are also suing the bio-agricultural corporation in federal court. (emphasis added)

City Attorney Tracy Reeve claims that Portland has already spent a significant amount of public money cleaning up contamination in the Willamette River as well as Columbia Slough. Over a billion dollars has been spent cleaning up just the river, Mayor Charlie Hales told Oregon Public Broadcasting.

The source of their woes are PCBs. Polychlorinated biphenyls are synthetic compounds described as “either oily liquids or solids that are colorless to light yellow” by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, which adds that “Some PCBs can exist as a vapor in air” and have no smell or taste.

Monsanto manufactured over 1 billion pounds of PCBs and the company’s own […]

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The Netherlands keeps having to close its prisons due to a lack of prisoners

Stephan:  In the new slavery of the United States prisons, particularly privatized prisons, are a central component of this growing industry. We have five per cent of the world's population and in our gulag we have 25 per cent of the world's prisoners, many now indentured workers. In other countries like Sweden and now the Netherlands something rather different is happening. Here is the Dutch story.
Credit: Neil Conway

Credit: Neil Conway

The Netherlands will close five of its prisons over the next few years because the cost of maintaining them is too high. The reason why the prisons aren’t cost-efficient, however, is something of a national blessing: thanks to the country’s steadily declining crime rate, thousands of prison cells are going unused.

The news was first reported by the Telegraaf (link in Dutch), which obtained government documents disclosing the plan to close five jails. The documents also showed 1,900 prison employees would lose their jobs.
The reason for the closings is two-fold, reports Dutch News: according to Ard van der Steur, the Dutch minister of security and justice, judges are granting shorter sentences, meaning criminals spend less time in jail. But there has also been a decline in more serious crimes. In recent years, the Netherland’s crime rate has declined about 0.9% on average every year, according to Dutch News.
The Netherlands has been facing this good-to-have problem for years now: the country
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