As Warnings Build, Is There a ‘Spiral of Silence’ on Climate Change?

Stephan:  Day after day in the science press I see more and more papers in which scientists speak with growing urgency and alarm about the changes in the environment. And yet most Americans rarely speak of it. A few days ago I went to a political event at the house of a couple with whom my wife and I are friends, and a woman with whom I am slightly acquainted stood next to me at the excellent table of finger foods. After some small talk she said to me, "Stephan, do you have to put all those negative climate stories in SR? I don't like to put negativity in my mind so I'm sorry but I just don't read you as often anymore." I had no doubt she meant her comments as well-meant counsel. I made a polite response and we were interrupted by someone else. But her words have stayed with me, and today I read this, and realized others share my views.  We are in a kind of massive cultural denial; the only way it is going to end is if each of us start talking. I suggest you make a point of bringing climate change into focus in conversation with friends and family spoken or written at least once a day. That is how Gay became LGBT.

break-glass-in-emergencyUpdated, 2:01 p.m. | At a local art gallery in 2010, amid the loud chatter over wine and cheese, I heard a weird metronomic sound over toward one wall. I wandered over to find a hammer set to tap relentlessly on a sheet of glass, behind which were these words in red letters: “BREAK GLASS IN CASE OF EMERGENCY.”

Tap…. Tap…. Tap….

The chatter and laughter continued unabated.

Long-time readers here may recall what the artist, John Allen, said when I asked him about it. He explained that he had originally set the piece up in his home to test whether it could both get under one’s skin and also fade into the background.

The sculpture came to mind again this week when Anthony Leiserowitz, a Yale University researcher leading a longstanding effort to understand attitudes on global warming, distributed a note asking, “Is There a Climate ‘Spiral of Silence’ in America?” He summarized a fresh analysis by a team at Yale and George Mason University showing that while most Americans say they are somewhat or very interested in global warming, a bigger majority […]

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A bot crawled thousands of studies looking for simple math errors. The results are concerning.

Stephan:  Since I study nonlocal consciousness and measurements of its activity are often statistical in nature, accurate statistics constitute a matter of great importance in our field, and I think we do a good job in these areas. Sadly, according to this report, in psychology statistics seem to be not what they should be.

On August 25, Jennifer Tackett, a psychology professor at Northwestern University, got an odd email in her inbox. It was from PubPeer, an online forum where people share and discuss scientific articles. And it made her a little anxious.

“PubPeer is typically used to point out errors in papers, and no scientist wants to find errors in their published work,” Tackett tells me in an email.

When she clicked through to the PubPeer comment, this is what she saw.

A program called “Statcheck” was writing to inform her it had been double-checking the math in her paper.

Tackett wasn’t the only person to get such an email. Statcheck had scanned 50,000 papers and uploaded the results to the PubPeer comments. And while Tackett’s paper checked out, others had a more unpleasant surprise.

Statcheck is a simple program built to correct simple errors. But it provokes bigger questions about how the field of psychology should go about correcting errors in past work. Because psychologists are starting to find a great many.

Why scientists need robots to check their math

In science, even […]

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Unemployment Bad for Youth’s Health in Wealthy Economies

Stephan:  This Gallup survey is telling us something very important about our society, and is yet another negative proof of the Theorem of Wellbeing.
  • 26% of unemployed youth in high-income economies thriving in physical well-being
  • 24% of employed older adults in high-income economies thriving in physical well-being
  • Unemployment takes greatest toll on physical well-being of the highest educated

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Young people worldwide have an advantage over older adults when it comes to their physical well-being. In fact, in many low- to upper-middle-income economies, even young adults who are unemployed have higher physical well-being than older adults who are employed. But this is not the case in high-income economies: Young people between the ages of 15 and 29 who are unemployed are about as likely to be thriving in their physical well-being (26%) as people older than 50 with a job (24%).

Physical Well-Being of Young Adults vs. Older Adults in High-Income Economies*, by Employment Status
% “Thriving” in physical well-being; figures are for those currently in the workforce
15-29
50+

%
%

Total adult population
30
24

Employed
31
24

Unemployed
26
14

*World Bank categorizes high-income economies as ones where the gross national income per capita is $12,476 or more; 47 countries fall into this category.

Gallup-Healthways Global Well-Being Index, 2013-2015

These figures represent the averages for 47 high-income-economy countries Gallup polled in from 2013 to 2015, and while the averages show no difference between unemployed youth and […]

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Cash-strapped Saudi Arabia switches to Gregorian calendar to pay civil servants less

Stephan:  For decades Saudi Arabia has seemed to me as a nation to be like a drug dealer servicing the petroleum jones of the world. But what happens to drug dealers when the price of your drug drops severely even as few people need your fixes? You catch trends by seeing little things most people don't even notice or, even if they see them, see it only as a singleton, when they are more than that. This is one of those quirky little stories that heralds a trend.
A Saudi man poses with Saudi riyal banknotes. Credit: Faisal Al Nasser / Reuters

A Saudi man poses with Saudi riyal banknotes. Credit: Faisal Al Nasser / Reuters

Saudi Arabian civil servants will lose 11 days of pay after the country switched to the Gregorian calendar, the predominant format for organizing time in the West. The switch is part of austerity measures meant to curb the budget deficit.

Previously, only the private sector of the Gulf monarchy used the Gregorian calendar of its oil customers to calculate salaries, while the public sector has used the Islamic lunar Hijri calendar since 1932. Under it, a year comprises of 12 months lasting 354 or 355 days, or 11 days shorter than the Gregorian calendar. The salaries are calculated on annual basis, so a longer year translates into less payment for the employees.

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