Iowa Republicans and Trump
Credit: Des Moines Register
About two-thirds of Iowa Republicans in a new survey said they would vote for President Trump if the 2020 election was held today, according to a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll. (emphasis added)
The survey, which was released on Sunday night, found that 67 percent of the state’s Republican respondents said they would vote for Trump if the election were held today. Nineteen percent said they would consider someone else, while 10 percent said they would definitely vote for someone else.
But the poll also reveals that 63 percent of Republican respondents said the Republican Party of Iowa should welcome challengers to compete at the state’s 2020 caucuses. Twenty-six percent said the Republican Party of Iowa should discourage potential candidates challenging Trump.
CNN notes that 72 percent of Republican respondents with college degrees say that the Iowa Republican Party should welcome challengers. In addition, it notes that the share of women surveyed who said they’d welcome challengers to the party caucuses, 66 percent, is higher than men, at 50 percent.
Trump’s approval among the state’s […]
On a more cheerful note:
Republicans are in the minority in Iowa—only 33% of Iowans are registered Republican. So although the headline says 2/3’s of Republicans would vote to reelect Trump, if you do the math: 67% of 33% = 22%
So all you really know from this poll, for sure, is that ONLY 22% of all Iowans would vote to reelect Trump—because they didn’t include or didn’t ask Democrats or Independents.
Another 30% of Iowans are Democrats, but we have to remember that most people—in Iowa, and also in the entire country—are registered as Independent.