Is Theresa May’s Brexit deal dead?
Not yet, remarkably. Downing Street was clear after the vote that the prime minister was prepared to bring her deal back to parliament next week. But in a new context.
May will allow the indicative votes process to continue on Monday, which will aim to focus on the most popular options, and this time could produce something that commands majority support – the realistic contenders are a customs union and, or possibly combined with, a second referendum.
The initial indication was that two options might then be put to parliament later next week: May’s deal and a customs union/second referendum variant, or whatever emerges from MPs on Monday. It would amount to a final runoff, a last-ditch attempt to scare or bring rightwing Tory holdouts onboard.
Could May win a fourth time around?
The Commons arithmetic is still formidable. There are three groups who remain opposed to her deal, despite Boris Johnson and others backing it.
There are 28 hard-Brexit MPs – who have dubbed themselves “the Spartans” and who voted against May on Friday – but there are also 10 DUP MPs – and a further six Conservative MPs who support […]