NEW YORK — Has the global economy recovered? Forecasters say there will be an uptick this year of 2.4 percent, but they’re forgetting something. China could fail soon, and, if it does, the world’s most populous state will drag the rest of us down. Skip to next paragraph At this moment, a Chinese crisis seems like the last thing we should be worried about. After all, last year China overtook America as the planet’s largest car market and passed Germany as the biggest exporter. On Thursday, Beijing announced that growth for the fourth quarter of 2009 was 10.7 percent and 8.7 percent for the entire year. Some analysts said the numbers were so strong that the country zoomed past Japan to become the world’s second-largest economy. Stock markets, property prices, you name it: Everything Chinese is soaring. Dubai was once soaring, too. Global markets therefore, shuddered in November at the news that Dubai World, Dubai’s state investment firm and biggest corporate debtor, had asked for an extension on its $59 billion of obligations. Troubles in the booming emirate had been evident for some time, but stock investors were nonetheless caught unawares, apparently thinking a default would not […]
Sunday, January 24th, 2010
China: The World’s Next Great Economic Crash
Author: GORDON G. CHANG
Source: The Christian Science Monitor
Publication Date: 21-Jan-10
Link: China: The World’s Next Great Economic Crash
Source: The Christian Science Monitor
Publication Date: 21-Jan-10
Link: China: The World’s Next Great Economic Crash
Stephan: It is not clear to me, nor anyone else, I believe, whatever they say, that we have a clear take on China. What does seem clear to me is that it is always dangerous to fall in love with what seems obvious. In that spirit here is a contrarian view of China. Keep it in mind, I surely will.
Gordon G. Chang is the author of 'The Coming Collapse of China' and 'Nuclear Showdown: North Korea Takes on the World.'